Netanyahu heads to DC while heavy US aircraft crowd skies near Iran
The skies over the Middle East and Europe are unusually crowded this week, as open-source flight trackers flag a massive surge in U.S. heavy-lift aircraft.
Public flight-tracking data compiled by OSINT, or open-source intelligence, accounts show a large flow of U.S. C-17 transport aircraft into Europe and the Middle East, but the U.S. military has not publicly linked those movements to any named operation. All movement data in those reports comes from civilian tracking feeds, not from official deployment announcements.
While the Pentagon hasn’t officially linked these flights to a specific mission, the timing is hard to ignore. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be in Washington for high-stakes meetings with President Donald Trump. His top priority? Pushing for a much broader deal with Iran that goes beyond nuclear enrichment to include ballistic missiles and regional proxies.
Why big C-17 movements matter — but don’t prove intent
Airforce Technology said OSINT observers were “abuzz” over the weekend after reports claimed as many as 112 U.S. C-17s were headed into Europe and the Middle East. The outlet, using Flightradar24 data on Monday, said it confirmed multiple U.S. C-17s and other aircraft at hubs like Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and Ramstein Air Base in Germany, but could not verify that “in excess of 100 American airlifters” were present.
In a separate thread, the OSINT account Armchair Admiral said on Saturday that “a total of 112 U.S. Air Force C-17’s have now either arrived or are en route to the Middle East,” based on ADS-B and ACARS data it described as incomplete.
ZeroHedge highlighted the figure and quoted a commentator who called the number “Like Desert Storm,” framing the buildup as potentially comparable in scale to the 1991 Gulf War. Those assessments remain commentary; none of the sources present U.S. government documents that tie the tracked flights to a specific mission.
The C-17s at the center of the tracking reports are significant, however. In January, the Air Force conducted exercise Kraken Reach 2026. The drill tested the rapid generation and launch of eight C-17s in quick succession under operational time pressure, simulating a high-speed deployment.
According to Army Recognition, the C-17 is a heavy-lift workhorse capable of transporting nearly 85 tons. The C-17 can carry up to 102 servicemembers and can accommodate outsized equipment, including a 69-ton M1 Abrams tank.
What AFCENT, Boeing and the record actually show
None of the sources includes a Pentagon statement explaining the current C-17 pattern. The only formal military document provided is a Jan. 26 news release from Ninth Air Force (Air Forces Central), which announced a “multi-day readiness exercise” to “deploy, disperse, and sustain combat airpower across the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility.” AFCENT did not give dates in that release and did not mention C-17 counts, specific routes or areas of operation.

AFCENT said that the drills focus on agility, testing the ability to quickly shift forces to austere locations while maintaining supply lines with limited support. Officials emphasized that all operations are being conducted with the permission of host nations.
Lt. Gen. Derek France, the AFCENT commander, said in the release that “our Airmen are proving they can disperse, operate, and generate combat sorties under demanding conditions — safely, precisely and alongside our partners.” He added that practicing tactics and procedures in a “rapidly evolving” air domain “reinforces peace through strength.” The statement does not address any link to the OSINT-tracked flights.
In a separate Boeing press release on Monday, the company said the Air Force has awarded a contract to modernize the C-17A flight deck with modular open systems architecture. The manufacturer said the contract would replace critical equipment that is part of a roadmap to keep the C-17A viable through 2075. That announcement focuses on long-term fleet health rather than current deployments.
Straight Arrow News has asked Boeing whether its new C-17A flight deck modernization program is connected to the reported deployments.
Netanyahu in DC to push for broader Iran deal
Amid the military activity, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu heads to Washington for his seventh meeting with President Trump since the start of the president’s second term. While the official agenda includes the war in Gaza, Netanyahu said before departing that his “first and foremost” priority is the negotiation with Tehran.
According to The Associated Press, the prime minister plans to urge the White House to expand its demands beyond uranium enrichment to include limits on Iran’s ballistic missile program and its support for regional militant groups. The visit coincides with the U.S. military buildup in the region and follows indirect talks between American and Iranian officials in Oman.
Analysts told the AP that the timing serves dual purposes: bolstering Netanyahu’s standing ahead of October elections and allowing him to visit the White House now, potentially avoiding a “Board of Peace” launch on Feb. 19 that includes nations Israel views skeptically, such as Turkey and Qatar.
How flight patterns, Iran fears and exercises fit together
Airforce Technology identified a mix of tankers and surveillance aircraft alongside five C-17s at Qatar’s Al Udeid Air Base. It noted a larger concentration at Ramstein Air Base in Germany, counting a dozen C-17s alongside C-130s and a C-5 Galaxy.
The report also highlighted a U.S. Navy P-8A Poseidon conducting repetitive surveillance loops over the waters separating Bahrain and the UAE. It also described a KC-135 Stratotanker trace that briefly appeared to fly close to Iran before the Flightradar24 app “temporarily stopped coverage” and redrew the route, illustrating how open-source displays can change midflight.
Armchair Admiral’s thread offered a more detailed but unofficial count. The account’s tally showed that nearly 70 flights were heading to Jordan, with smaller clusters filing flight plans for bases in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Diego Garcia. It also listed 17 pending flights from U.S. locations, including Biggs Army Airfield and Robert Gray Army Airfield, and noted that its list was “by no means exhaustive.”
What remains unknown about US plans
Airforce Technology argued that judging U.S. intentions would require a clearer understanding of the airlift’s extent and capacity, and said OSINT alone leaves key questions unresolved.
AFCENT did not specify when the drill would end. None of the provided outlets includes a U.S. government timeline or an explanation of the current C-17 movement pattern, and each treats flight-tracking data as suggestive of activity rather than conclusive evidence of U.S. intentions.
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(@ArmchairAdml)